Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 44.906084 51.616792 58.602610 66.386063 74.785021 83.545926 93.345974
2024-10-20 34.115988 43.405976 53.653501 65.663232 79.224858 93.946930 111.020614
2024-10-27 26.978001 37.322873 49.273300 63.822051 80.793775 99.728672 122.217472
2024-11-03 24.003902 35.503505 49.272765 66.516425 87.105717 110.517148 138.774555
2024-11-10 21.229957 33.490776 48.675484 68.185924 91.964785 119.448654 153.075953
2024-11-17 17.827900 30.236159 46.182740 67.235171 93.440010 124.229446 162.410527
2024-11-24 14.983729 27.367017 43.879238 66.253008 94.655797 128.532024 171.050500
2024-12-01 12.992811 25.438984 42.603910 66.402154 97.128703 134.243189 181.295269
2024-12-08 11.304787 23.742523 41.474259 66.601641 99.558985 139.831541 191.351485
2024-12-15 9.983913 22.440701 40.764090 67.254135 102.491778 145.992368 202.082496
2024-12-22 8.414411 20.536324 39.038448 66.405172 103.387393 149.557797 209.604116
2024-12-29 7.563377 19.720447 38.819875 67.563359 106.863335 156.332830 221.071590
2025-01-05 6.812609 19.005253 38.720945 68.895413 110.616043 163.542576 233.210707
2025-01-12 5.692616 17.451397 37.223088 68.159636 111.555072 167.153619 240.879226
2025-01-19 4.508843 15.554571 35.022452 66.274249 110.833508 168.556591 245.723053
2025-01-26 4.297048 15.620873 35.987033 69.032409 116.465576 178.187143 260.968727
2025-02-02 3.927749 15.289102 36.258252 70.740884 120.649192 185.949602 273.881445
2025-02-09 3.192701 13.989306 34.797468 69.767974 121.057147 188.750020 280.476114
2025-02-16 2.558651 12.771199 33.370846 68.762797 121.357058 191.366189 286.809818
2025-02-23 2.150421 12.027083 32.721816 68.915446 123.264097 196.092633 295.850460
2025-03-02 1.800019 11.346576 32.131321 69.119614 125.220121 200.874741 304.967738
2025-03-09 1.537757 10.852483 31.848344 69.787381 127.830584 206.532377 315.231479
2025-03-16 1.182672 9.925234 30.651936 68.918535 128.169222 209.110052 321.483350